Here is a transcript of a radio address given by retired Air Force General Tony McPeak explaining why we need to get rid of George Bush because he has done such a horrible job with foreign policy. Is this guy a shill of the Democratic Party, like the "Swift Boat Veterans for Truth[sic]" are shills of the Republican Party? Probably. Does he have a long standing grudge against the President, like those other guys have against John Kerry? No. I mean, he actively campaigned for the guy 4 years ago. Does he have a grudge against the President now? I think so - he thinks he is unfit to lead the country, and he has good experience to back up his opinion. Good to see that miltary men like him are stepping forward to counter the shills like John O'Neill.
Oh - and this is exactly why the candidates respective war records 30 years ago matter-- one guy understands what war is like, especially when it is wrong. The other guy doesn't know and doesn't care, as long as he gets to send people to it.
Bob's reply: Bad link on the McPeak transcript. I'd be happy to read it if you provide another link.
I'll concede there are tons of reasons to criticize George W. Bush as president, even reasons to want him out. Where's the case for John Kerry? Democrats appear to be hoping to beat somebody with nobody. It may work, but I'd like to see a case for John Kerry rather than more reasons not to vote for Bush. Is it because of Kerry's respect for civil liberties?
Bob again: I read the McPeak transcript. The general makes a lot out of our needing to work with allies. He specifically mentioned Italy as a potential source of intelligence. Hey, Tony. Italy was on board for the liberation. Why do Kerry and his supporters think France and Germany are our only allies? We went it alone according to McPeak. He has his own, personal definition of alone, I guess. Oh, wait, it's the same definition that Kerry uses. Alone: without France.
The general expressed his support for Kerry, but provided no substance. He was a Dole guy, then a Bush guy, now a Kerry guy. Fair enough. I eagerly await hearing who McPeak supports in 2008. Should be entertaining.
Monday, August 16, 2004
Sunday, August 15, 2004
Tenacious Press
If you're looking for a tenacious, inquiring press corps you'll have to go back to February 2004 and this press briefing regarding George W. Bush's service in the Texas Air National Guard. Politically motivated charges regarding something that happened over thirty years ago seemed to be very important to the press that day. So far they don't seem concerned about John Kerry's unlikely tale about being in Cambodia. Perhaps they're just doing background research and will start asking Kerry and his campaign these sorts of specific questions in due time. That is if they're not actively aiding his campaign.
Rhoads' response: Bob continues to give example after example after example after example of the "liberal media." Not quite sure why. If it is to convince me, then you can stop, because I have already admitted that many many journalists lean to the left. But then I thought about it some more, and maybe it is to try to convince yourself, because there are in fact just as many examples of the media having a "conservative" or "pro-Bush" bias. In fact, the example you list above could be an example of this that. I say that because even though the presidential spokesperson never actually answered the question asked the press eventually lost interest and gave up. I still want to know where the president was during the three months in question.
Bob's reply: Where was Bush? Cambodia with Kerry.
I'm sure that seems plausible in a world where "there are in fact just as many examples of the media having a 'conservative' or 'pro-Bush' bias."
Rhoads' response: Bob continues to give example after example after example after example of the "liberal media." Not quite sure why. If it is to convince me, then you can stop, because I have already admitted that many many journalists lean to the left. But then I thought about it some more, and maybe it is to try to convince yourself, because there are in fact just as many examples of the media having a "conservative" or "pro-Bush" bias. In fact, the example you list above could be an example of this that. I say that because even though the presidential spokesperson never actually answered the question asked the press eventually lost interest and gave up. I still want to know where the president was during the three months in question.
Bob's reply: Where was Bush? Cambodia with Kerry.
I'm sure that seems plausible in a world where "there are in fact just as many examples of the media having a 'conservative' or 'pro-Bush' bias."
Strengthen the Good
Please visit Strengthen the Good and see how you can help the victims of Hurricane Charley in Florida.
Roughly every other Sunday I will be posting a link to Strengthen the Good where you can read about worthy "micro" charities that you may choose to support.
Rhoads' reponseI couldn't agree more!
Roughly every other Sunday I will be posting a link to Strengthen the Good where you can read about worthy "micro" charities that you may choose to support.
Rhoads' reponseI couldn't agree more!
Saturday, August 14, 2004
Who's Number 1?
Come Monday morning Tiger Woods may no longer be the number one ranked golfer in the world. I'm not sure of the specific scenarios, but both Vijay Singh and Ernie Els could overtake Tiger for the number one spot. Tiger has held that number one ranking for several years, but is he still the best golfer in the world? I'm a huge fan of Tiger, but the answer is that no matter what happens tomorrow in the final round of the PGA Championship Tiger is not the best golfer in the world. Based upon the following stats courtesy of the PGA Tour, I'd say that Tiger is the fourth best player in the world.
Rank This Week | Rank Last Week | Player | Rounds | Avg. | Tot. Strks | Tot. Adj. |
1 | 1 | Phil Mickelson | 59 | 68.60 | 4,078 | -30.554 |
2 | 2 | Ernie Els | 42 | 68.65 | 2,920 | -36.779 |
3 | 3 | Vijay Singh | 78 | 69.09 | 5,420 | -31.331 |
4 | 4 | Tiger Woods | 52 | 69.19 | 3,636 | -38.041 |
A Rare Recommendation
Former MIT and now Princeton lefty economist Paul Krugman never writes anything I can recommend in his goofy column in the New York Times. Imagine my surprise when I read a wonderful, insightful essay called In Praise of Cheap Labor written by Krugman in March of 1997. The essay examines the moral outrage of the anti-globalization movement, a movement mostly of the left that counts among it's allies the noted right-winger Pat Buchanan.
A sample:
Thanks to Don Boudreaux at Cafe Hayek for directing me to the lost essay of Krugman. Says Boudreaux:
A sample:
Why does the image of an Indonesian sewing sneakers for 60 cents an hour evoke so much more feeling than the image of another Indonesian earning the equivalent of 30 cents an hour trying to feed his family on a tiny plot of land--or of a Filipino scavenging on a garbage heap?Not surprisingly to anyone with a basic economic education, the consequences are not good--not good for the workers, the multi-national manufacturers, nor the consumers. Krugman concludes:
The main answer, I think, is a sort of fastidiousness. Unlike the starving subsistence farmer, the women and children in the sneaker factory are working at slave wages for our benefit--and this makes us feel unclean. And so there are self-righteous demands for international labor standards: We should not, the opponents of globalization insist, be willing to buy those sneakers and shirts unless the people who make them receive decent wages and work under decent conditions.
This sounds only fair–but is it? Let's think through the consequences.
You may say that the wretched of the earth should not be forced to serve as hewers of wood, drawers of water, and sewers of sneakers for the affluent. But what is the alternative? Should they be helped with foreign aid? Maybe--although the historical record of regions like southern Italy suggests that such aid has a tendency to promote perpetual dependence. Anyway, there isn't the slightest prospect of significant aid materializing. Should their own governments provide more social justice? Of course--but they won't, or at least not because we tell them to. And as long as you have no realistic alternative to industrialization based on low wages, to oppose it means that you are willing to deny desperately poor people the best chance they have of progress for the sake of what amounts to an aesthetic standard--that is, the fact that you don't like the idea of workers being paid a pittance to supply rich Westerners with fashion items.Shocked as I am to say it, I agree with Paul Krugman.
In short, my correspondents are not entitled to their self-righteousness. They have not thought the matter through. And when the hopes of hundreds of millions are at stake, thinking things through is not just good intellectual practice. It is a moral duty.
Thanks to Don Boudreaux at Cafe Hayek for directing me to the lost essay of Krugman. Says Boudreaux:
Reading this essay supplies a good reason for hoping that John Kerry wins the November election: With a Democrat in the White House, Paul Krugman might rediscover legitimate economics.Not exactly a positive case for John Kerry, but it's something.
Fraud and Coverup in the Kerry Vietnam Saga?
The Kerry in Cambodia narrative and his parading of his Band of Brothers at the Boston convention continues to unravel. One of the men who stood up and spoke on Kerry's behalf never served under Kerry in Vietnam [Not true: see UPDATE below]. Captain Ed posts that it's beginning to look like more than just a faulty memory on Kerry's part.
For about six months now I've been waiting to read a positive case made for John Kerry as president. Now it seems the more people get to know Kerry the less likely I am to find that case presented.
UPDATE: The man who stood up and spoke for Kerry in Boston DID serve under Kerry in Vietnam for a week or two. Here's the approximate timeline of service and tangled web of Kerry chronology from Byron York.
This isn't just a guy embellishing his war record -- this is a deliberate and longstanding attempt to mislead and defraud people by creating his own witnesses after the fact. That he could have done such a clumsy job should disqualify him for higher office on that basis alone.With the complicity of an adoring media, this probably won't turn into anything. Besides, for a significant minority of the voting public this election isn't about Kerry. They'd vote for anyone the Democratic Party nominated to oppose Bush.
For about six months now I've been waiting to read a positive case made for John Kerry as president. Now it seems the more people get to know Kerry the less likely I am to find that case presented.
UPDATE: The man who stood up and spoke for Kerry in Boston DID serve under Kerry in Vietnam for a week or two. Here's the approximate timeline of service and tangled web of Kerry chronology from Byron York.
Friday, August 13, 2004
Kerry, Kerry, he's our man
If he can't do it, nobody can!
Are the mainstream media cheerleaders for John Kerry? They are according to Evan Thomas, Assistant Managing Editor of Newsweek:
(Thanks to InstaPundit for the link)
Are the mainstream media cheerleaders for John Kerry? They are according to Evan Thomas, Assistant Managing Editor of Newsweek:
MR. THOMAS: There's one other base here, the media. Let's talk a little media bias here. The media, I think, wants Kerry to win and I think they're going to portray Kerry and Edwards I'm talking about the establishment media, not Fox. They're going to portray Kerry and Edwards as being young and dynamic and optimistic and there's going to be this glow about them, collective glow, the two of them, that's going to be worth maybe 15 points.Worth maybe 15 points? That might be a bit arrogant of Mr. Thomas to assume he and his cohorts have that much influence. But at least he's honest about the goals of the mainstream, elite media.
(Thanks to InstaPundit for the link)
Wednesday, August 11, 2004
President Cowen
Tyler Cown offers up his vision for Bush's second term:
Here's my vision: Cowen for President 2008
The bandwagon is now open.
1. Eliminate all farm subsidies, tariffs, quotas and price supports.I suspect Tyler realizes these are not going to be part of any Bush presidency. They won't be part of any Kerry presidency, either.
2. Tell Western Europe it is paying for its own defense from now on.
3. Admit that the Medicare drug prescription bill was a mistake. Repeal it, and consider a revenue-neutral benefit that does not discriminate against prescription drugs. Introduce means-testing for Medicare to stop that program from bankrupting us. I would rather cut this benefit than repeal the tax cuts [tax shifts, correctly, though spending discipline could turn them into real tax cuts.] The long-run benefits of greater capital accumulation remain significant.
4. Negotiate bilateral free trade agreements as rapidly as possible. Start with Japan, the second largest economy in the world.
5. Strengthen America's commitment to science. This will have implications for educational policy, immigration policy, and regulatory policy. Don't restrict stem cell research. Hope that science comes up with affordable and politically sustainable solutions for global warming and clean energy independence. You might have libertarian objections to science subsidies, but the realistic alternative today is more government intervention.
6. Strengthen early warning systems against infectious diseases. Increase research into cures, vaccines, immunity, and the like. We don't want the world to lose fifty million people to avian flu or some other malady.
7. Take in more immigrants, but demand higher levels of skills and education. At the very least, take in any revenue-positive immigrant.
8. Abolish the Department of Education.
9. Abolish the Department of Energy.
10. Repeal all corporate welfare.
11. Repeal the corporate income tax. Repeal the Alternative Minimum Tax. Admittedly these are "ifs," depending on fiscal considerations.
12. Get on TV and tell the nation that a free economy is a critical source of our strength. Tell them you mean it, and then mean it. Economic growth is the greatest long-run gift we can give to the world.
Here's my vision: Cowen for President 2008
The bandwagon is now open.
Monday, August 09, 2004
You Go David
David Boaz writes that liberals and conservatives both use the same play book:
Both believe in government magic. And they want you to believe in it too. They want you to believe the president can be Superman, Santa Claus and Mother Teresa all rolled into one and that he can cure poverty and racism, keep kids off drugs and keep families together. Magical thinking is cute among children. But adults should know that the world is complicated and that legislative actions often fail, or backfire, or have unintended consequences or disappear into bureaucratic sinkholes.And this magical thinking manifests itself in "the number one way liberals and conservatives are alike according" to Boaz:
Both think they can run your life better than you can.That's been my experience, too. Both sides are elitist. The elitism just manifests itself differently.
Liberals want to raise taxes because they can spend your money better than you can. They don't believe in school choice because you're not capable of choosing a school for your children. They think they can handle your healthcare, your retirement and your charitable contributions better than you can.
Conservatives want to censor cable television because you're too dumb to decide what your family should watch. They want to ban drugs, pornography, gambling and gay marriage because you just don't know what's good for you.
My Problem, or My Students' Problem
Though I'm no good at chess, I'm afraid I think like a chess grand master. That seems like a good thing. Unless you take tennis lessons from me. Here's how that goes.
Like everyone else I started out my teaching career by teaching things that I'd been taught, teaching the way I'd been taught, saying the things I'd heard said. After a while, I began to question those old nostrums. So I started doing hypothesis testing on these conventional wisdoms. Naturally and not surprisingly some of the old ways didn't survive the testing. Unfortunately I'd been teaching these conventional wisdoms for years, so some of the students got a bit touchy when I announced that some of the things I'd been saying look to have been incorrect. Bummer.
Having discarded some of the old ways, and based upon what I learned in my falsifications of the old ways, I started teaching some new things and in new ways. Of course my new ways represented my own pet theories which I then set out to disprove, just as I'd set out to disprove the old conventional wisdoms. As you might expect, some of my pet theories also failed to hold up to analytical scrutiny. That led me to discard some of them and adopt, teach, and test new theories.
I've used the past tense so far, but as anyone familiar with the scientific method can attest, this process continues until you draw your last breath or quit trying to examine things scientifically. Since I'm alive and haven't quit, the process continues for me.
For students who want someone (me!) to give them THE ANSWERS, this can be disconcerting to say the least. Fortunately, more students than I have the time to teach seem interested in taking lessons. So I've got that going for me. Which is nice.
Like everyone else I started out my teaching career by teaching things that I'd been taught, teaching the way I'd been taught, saying the things I'd heard said. After a while, I began to question those old nostrums. So I started doing hypothesis testing on these conventional wisdoms. Naturally and not surprisingly some of the old ways didn't survive the testing. Unfortunately I'd been teaching these conventional wisdoms for years, so some of the students got a bit touchy when I announced that some of the things I'd been saying look to have been incorrect. Bummer.
Having discarded some of the old ways, and based upon what I learned in my falsifications of the old ways, I started teaching some new things and in new ways. Of course my new ways represented my own pet theories which I then set out to disprove, just as I'd set out to disprove the old conventional wisdoms. As you might expect, some of my pet theories also failed to hold up to analytical scrutiny. That led me to discard some of them and adopt, teach, and test new theories.
I've used the past tense so far, but as anyone familiar with the scientific method can attest, this process continues until you draw your last breath or quit trying to examine things scientifically. Since I'm alive and haven't quit, the process continues for me.
For students who want someone (me!) to give them THE ANSWERS, this can be disconcerting to say the least. Fortunately, more students than I have the time to teach seem interested in taking lessons. So I've got that going for me. Which is nice.
Novak Weighs In
Conservative columnist Robert Novak has read Unfit for Command and has written a column today on the book. Here's how Novak concludes the column:
The book's strength is the vehemence of testimony by swift boat veterans, alleging that Kerry ''gamed'' the system to win decorations and later betrayed comrades by charging war crimes. Typical is the quote by Bob Hildreth, commanding an accompanying boat: ''I would never want Kerry behind me. I wouldn't want him in front of me either. And I sure wouldn't want him commanding our kids in Iraq and Afghanistan.'' Some 200 ''Swiftees'' on May 4 signed a letter to Kerry demanding full release of his service records.Indeed. It seems like the Swift Vets are making pretty specific claims and backing them up with documentation and affidavits. It's time for the Kerry campaign to answer those claims with more than attacks on the men themselves. That won't get us anywhere. Let's see the records.
The book's weakness is support for Kerry's presidential campaign by his swift boat crewmates, presumably people who knew him best. O'Neill told me that these former sailors served with Kerry no more than five weeks. Jim Rassman, now part of the Kerry presidential campaign, was a Special Forces lieutenant spending a few days with Kerry when he fell or was knocked off the swift boat while under fire and was fished out of the Mekong River by the future candidate.
The ''band of brothers'' was organized by Kerry, according to this book. It tells of a 2003 telephone call to Adm. Roy Hoffmann, who commanded swift boats in Vietnam, telling him he was running for president. Hoffmann, mistakenly thinking it was former Sen. Bob Kerrey, ''responded enthusiastically.'' Once the admiral realized it was John Kerry, ''he declined to give Kerry his support.''
Unfit for Command sends a devastating message, unless effectively refuted. Perhaps most disturbing are allegations that Kerry's combat decorations are unjustified. His first Purple Heart, the book alleges, was accidentally self-inflicted. His commander, Grant Hibbard, is quoted as saying: ''I didn't recommend him for a Purple Heart. Kerry probably wrote up the paperwork and recommended himself.'' Full release of documents demanded by his critics could settle this claim quickly if it is unwarranted.
Some Moral Compass
So I'm driving yesterday in Boulder and I see this bumper sticker:
I realize that some people think that the religious right is waging war against all kinds of civil rights in this country. I'm not up on the battles waged by the religious right, but for the sake of argument let's concede that George Bush and John Ashcroft are hell-bent (excuse my language!) on outlawing abortion everywhere and always, on rifling through every citizen's library records to see who's been reading naughty books, that they want to put the ten commandments in every public place and force every child to pray in school. Let's assume they want to eliminate all sex-education from the schools and they want to eliminate the first amendment entirely so they can shut down pornographers. Let's also condede that they want to outlaw homosexual marriage and keep gay and lesbian teachers and counselors away from children everywhere. That all sounds pretty bad.
Now let's see how that stacks up against North Korea, Iran, and Iraq (before the invasion). On second thought, it's insulting to the intelligence of whatever readers we have here at Coffee With Rhoads to even begin such a comparison.
What sort of a moral compass does the driver of that vehicle possess that could possibly equate even my caricature of the US religious right with life in those three countries? I can only hope that some nut-job put that bumper sticker on the car and the owner hasn't noticed it, yet. Knowing the people of Boulder, that's not too likely, I'm afraid.
The religious right is the real "axis of evil".Think about that for a minute. I'll wait.
I realize that some people think that the religious right is waging war against all kinds of civil rights in this country. I'm not up on the battles waged by the religious right, but for the sake of argument let's concede that George Bush and John Ashcroft are hell-bent (excuse my language!) on outlawing abortion everywhere and always, on rifling through every citizen's library records to see who's been reading naughty books, that they want to put the ten commandments in every public place and force every child to pray in school. Let's assume they want to eliminate all sex-education from the schools and they want to eliminate the first amendment entirely so they can shut down pornographers. Let's also condede that they want to outlaw homosexual marriage and keep gay and lesbian teachers and counselors away from children everywhere. That all sounds pretty bad.
Now let's see how that stacks up against North Korea, Iran, and Iraq (before the invasion). On second thought, it's insulting to the intelligence of whatever readers we have here at Coffee With Rhoads to even begin such a comparison.
What sort of a moral compass does the driver of that vehicle possess that could possibly equate even my caricature of the US religious right with life in those three countries? I can only hope that some nut-job put that bumper sticker on the car and the owner hasn't noticed it, yet. Knowing the people of Boulder, that's not too likely, I'm afraid.
Let's See Some Journalism Here
After reading an attack on the Swift Vets' ad by Phil Carter yesterday, and then another by the Boulder Daily Camera editorial staff it seems to me it's time for some of these all-star journalists we have in this country to start earning their pay. Are the Swift Vets telling the truth? Has Kerry been telling the truth? My guess is both are telling the truth, both are mistaken, and both are embellishing for their own purposes. Sort of like what goes on in a court room. We're seeing an adversarial process here where both sides are trying to make their best case, presenting the opposite side in its worst light, and leaving it up to the jury to decide who's right. I think this is as it should be, well except for the embellishments which are probably inevitable but regrettable. Politics is an adversarial process.
When John Kerry returned from Vietnam he testified before the US Senate. Under oath he made some serious allegations about war crimes committed by his fellow soldiers. Many years later on the floor of the US Senate, John Kerry retold a story about being in Cambodia during Christmas of 1968. John Kerry and his surrogates have made his service in Vietnam the centerpiece of his candidacy. As much as I think all this stuff should be water under the bridge (though I understand it's anything but to those maligned by Kerry's testimony before the US Senate) it isn't since Kerry is running on the contrast between his service and Bush's.
We know Bush did not serve in Vietnam. We know he was something of a screwup for most of his younger (and not so younger) years. He has not made his youthful decisions and actions the centerpiece of his campaign for election nor reelection. Nevertheless charges of Bush being AWOL or a deserter or other nonsense were trotted out. Those charges were looked into, Bush released his military records, and the matter faded away.
Now it's time for this Kerry matter to be investigated. It seems to me Michael Duff gets to the nuts and bolts of the matter:
When John Kerry returned from Vietnam he testified before the US Senate. Under oath he made some serious allegations about war crimes committed by his fellow soldiers. Many years later on the floor of the US Senate, John Kerry retold a story about being in Cambodia during Christmas of 1968. John Kerry and his surrogates have made his service in Vietnam the centerpiece of his candidacy. As much as I think all this stuff should be water under the bridge (though I understand it's anything but to those maligned by Kerry's testimony before the US Senate) it isn't since Kerry is running on the contrast between his service and Bush's.
We know Bush did not serve in Vietnam. We know he was something of a screwup for most of his younger (and not so younger) years. He has not made his youthful decisions and actions the centerpiece of his campaign for election nor reelection. Nevertheless charges of Bush being AWOL or a deserter or other nonsense were trotted out. Those charges were looked into, Bush released his military records, and the matter faded away.
Now it's time for this Kerry matter to be investigated. It seems to me Michael Duff gets to the nuts and bolts of the matter:
Strip away all the rumors and reputation @#%$ and get me some paperwork.The Boston Globe and the New York Times probably are not up for asking these questions. Surely some other enterprising journalist will step up.
Who signed for Kerry's first Purple Heart?
Who signed for Kerry's second Purple Heart?
Who signed for Kerry's third Purple Heart?
Who signed for his Bronze Star?
Who signed for his Silver Star?
Who provided the testimony for those medals?
What did their testimony say?
Do those people stand by their testimony today?
Were they lying then or are they lying now?
The review process for those medals includes signatures from officers and enlisted men who were there on the front lines with him, and they are considered legal documents. Show me the paper. Find the men who signed these papers, wave the documents under their noses and say, "Were you lying then or are you lying now?" [naughty word edited out]
Sunday, August 08, 2004
Kerry: Braggart?
Roger Simon writes :
That's the Congressional Record from 1986 courtesy of Glenn Reynolds, who offers a link to a larger version . Here's more on the Cambodia story:
The easy part of this is that Nixon was not president in 1968. The issue of whether or not Kerry was in Camodia is tougher, but the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth are presenting a strong case that Kerry, shall we say, embellished that part of his service. As any trial lawyer will tell you (John Edwards might be a good one to ask) if any part of a witness' testimony is false that puts all of his testimony in doubt.
The Swift Boat Vets for Truth have put the ball back into Senator Kerry's court. It will be interesting to see how he responds. So far the credibility problem looks like it resides with Senator Kerry, not the goofball Swift Boat Vets.
Capitano or "The Braggart Soldier" is one of the stock figures of ridicule in commedia dell 'arte. (I had to memorize them, alas, when John Kerry and I were at Yale.) Actually this figure goes back to Roman times, as does much of commedia, to Plautus and "the swaggering soldier." So there is nothing particularly new about Kerry in the history of military braggadocio, but it is unique, I imagine, that such a man is running for President of the United States. Do I exaggerate? Well, you decide. Apparently, Mr. Kerry did tell the US Senate he had fought in Cambodia, after all:
That's the Congressional Record from 1986 courtesy of Glenn Reynolds, who offers a link to a larger version . Here's more on the Cambodia story:
By way of further example, Kerry wrote an article for the Boston Herald on October 14, 1979:
"I remember spending Christmas Eve of 1968 five miles across the Cambodian border being shot at by our South Vietnamese allies who were drunk and celebrating Christmas. The absurdity of almost killed by our own allies in a country in which President Nixon claimed there were no American troops was very real."
See Exhibit 26.
The Christmas in Cambodia story of John Kerry was repeated as recently as July 7, 2004 by Michael Kranish, a principal biographer of Kerry from The Boston Globe. On the Hannity & Colmes television show, Kranish indicated that Kerry's Christmas in Cambodia was a critical turning point in Kerry's life.
The story is a total preposterous fabrication by Kerry. Exhibit 8 is an affidavit by the Commander of the Swift boats in Vietnam, Admiral Roy Hoffmann, stating that Kerry's claim to be in Cambodia for Christmas Eve and Christmas of 1968 is a total lie. If necessary, similar affidavits are available from the entire chain of command. In reality, Kerry was at Sa Dec -- easily locatable on any map more than fifty miles from Cambodia. Kerry himself inadvertently admits that he was in Sa Dec for Christmas Eve and Christmas and not in Cambodia, as he had stated for so many years on the Senate Floor, in the newspapers, and elsewhere. Exhibit 27, Tour, pp. 213-219. Sa Dec is hardly "close" to the Cambodian border. In reality, far from being ordered secretly to Cambodia, Kerry spent a pleasant night at Sa Dec with "visions of sugar plums" dancing in his head. Exhibit 27, p. 219. At Sa Dec where the Swift boat patrol area ended, there were many miles of other boats (PBR's) leading to the Cambodian border. There were also gunboats on the border to prevent any crossing. If Kerry tried to get through, he would have been arrested. Obviously, Kerry has hardly been honest about his service in Vietnam.
The easy part of this is that Nixon was not president in 1968. The issue of whether or not Kerry was in Camodia is tougher, but the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth are presenting a strong case that Kerry, shall we say, embellished that part of his service. As any trial lawyer will tell you (John Edwards might be a good one to ask) if any part of a witness' testimony is false that puts all of his testimony in doubt.
The Swift Boat Vets for Truth have put the ball back into Senator Kerry's court. It will be interesting to see how he responds. So far the credibility problem looks like it resides with Senator Kerry, not the goofball Swift Boat Vets.
Saturday, August 07, 2004
I Hope Tacitus is Wrong
I'm on record as thinking it unlikely that John Kerry will win the election this November. However, the prospect of a Kerry victory didn't really disturb me all that much given his apparent commitment to stick it out in Iraq. I even wondered if it wouldn't be better for the War on Islamofascism if a Democrat were in the White House so the press would begin to report the good news from Iraq along with the bad. Even on the domestic policy front, I could make a case for gridlock being better from my perspective than the profligate combination of Bush and a Republican Congress.
That being said, Tacitus' analysis of Kerry's "secret plan" for Iraq does disturb me. It disturbs me because earlier today I read through the transcript of Kerry's debate with John O'Neill on the Dick Cavett Show in 1971. As Kerry and O'Neill were debating Richard Nixon's so-called "Vietnamization" program (that is gradual troop withdrawals as the South Vietnamese were armed to defend themselves), Kerry had this to say:
That being said, Tacitus' analysis of Kerry's "secret plan" for Iraq does disturb me. It disturbs me because earlier today I read through the transcript of Kerry's debate with John O'Neill on the Dick Cavett Show in 1971. As Kerry and O'Neill were debating Richard Nixon's so-called "Vietnamization" program (that is gradual troop withdrawals as the South Vietnamese were armed to defend themselves), Kerry had this to say:
The question really is this: Is the United States of America determined to leave Vietnam, and if we are determined to leave Vietnam – which I believe the president has shown some indications of because he has withdrawn troops. We don't deny that. What we say is the troops can be withdrawn faster. What we say is the killing can stop tomorrow, and it can stop if the president of the United States will set a date certain for the withdrawal for all United States combat and advisory troops from South Vietnam. And that's really the major issue. [emphasis added]Here is what Tacitus concludes Kerry plans to do in Iraq:
John Kerry avers that "diplomacy" can secure a peace or stability of sorts from groups and peoples with whom we are at war and whom we have yet to defeat. This, he asserts, will create the conditions for troop withdrawals. Oh, and if it doesn't? Because it won't: "[I]f it can't produce a different ingredient on the ground, lemme tell you something, that says something about what Iraqis want, and what the people in the region want." The rhetorical ground is prepared. The will-of-the-people rhetoric is deployed. The stage for the grim, resolute, yielding-to-reality (so unlike those neocons!) President John F. Kerry is set. Remember: if every best-case scenario for withdrawal doesn't work; if diplomacy(!) mysteriously fails to sway murderous fanatics to goodwill; if the French don't abruptly dispatch the Foreign Legion to Anbar Province; and if big-hearted Europeans don't immediately begin training thousands of Jeffersonian-minded Iraqis -- in short, if there's still a war to be won:Kerry plans to withdraw from Iraq.
He's going to withdraw anyway.
John Kerry vaulted into public life on the bloodied backs of the millions of slaughtered, enslaved and expelled Indochinese who suffered their fates -- and still suffer their fates -- because he and those like him achieved their policy victories back in those aforementioned bitter days. One might expect lessons learned from the experience: some measure of empathy or compassion for the victims deprived of the shield of American might and ideals. It was, after all, not merely the only thing keeping them somewhat free: it was the only thing keeping a few millions of them alive. But it seems he has learned precisely nothing. Now, three decades later, in Iraq and around the world there is another bitter fight -- and there is the same instinct to cut and run, dressed up in fantastical hypotheticals and dronings-on about priorities. What man wishes to be President of the United States, even as he wishes to not win its wars?Here's how Tacitus concludes his analysis:
I've had my profound problems with George W. Bush's handling of Iraq. His strategic management has been uneven; his assessment of his generals has been often lacking; and his direction of certain battles -- Fallujah most glaringly -- skirts catastrophe. But I rest assured that he will not countenance the greatest catastrophe of all: defeat. Whatever his flaws, the President will see the Iraq war through. We can ask no less of a leader entrusted with our nation's honor and future.Boy I hope Tacitus is wrong. I fear he is right.
John Kerry, by contrast, is planning to abandon that nation and its people. He is planning to allow, if he must, the enemies who massacred Americans in the clear fall skies of three years past to win in Iraq. He is planning to negate and nullify and heroic sacrifices of our Marines and our allies as they crush Islamism in Najaf. He is planning to blame it on events beyond his control: the international community; the current President; the will of the Iraqi people; the realities of resources, of finances, of logistics. Why, after all, close firehouses in Brooklyn yet open them in Baghdad? Callow rhetoric to prepare for callow defeat. The conclusion is that inescapable. And it's that simple.
He's going to withdraw anyway. And the price will be paid in blood.
John O'Neill and Credibility
Fellow lawyer, Beldar, provides some background on John O'Neill, former debate opponent of John Kerry and current Swift Boat Vet for Truth. Beldar also describes cross-examining Mr. O'Neill on the witness stand.
Some of these guys may be goofballs, but you'd be hardpressed to find someone who comes across less like a goofball than Mr. John O'Neill.
Some of these guys may be goofballs, but you'd be hardpressed to find someone who comes across less like a goofball than Mr. John O'Neill.
Friday, August 06, 2004
Of Goofballs, Kerry, and Poker
The Swift Boat Vets are looking less and less like a bunch of goofballs dredged up by Karl Rove as this story continues. PoliPundit once thought this was basically a non-story, but now he thinks differently. Rhoads may be right that Karl Rove dredged these guys up, but it's looking like this group of 250 veterans may haunt Kerry all the way to November.
John Kerry made a big mistake betting his campaign on the Vietnam card. The Democrats stayed in the game with this guy. It will be mighty frustrating for all the anti-Bushies to see the old Harvard Business School poker player, George W. Bush, with all the chips come November.
John Kerry made a big mistake betting his campaign on the Vietnam card. The Democrats stayed in the game with this guy. It will be mighty frustrating for all the anti-Bushies to see the old Harvard Business School poker player, George W. Bush, with all the chips come November.
John Kerry, Military Service, and the Truth
In his earlier post, Rhoads used "scare quotes" around the word "Truth" in his criticism of the Swift Vets for Truth. Maybe Rhoads can comment on what we now know of John Kerry's years of service in the Navy and the Naval Reserves compared to what Kerry and his campaign have said, or allowed to be said and written, about John Kerry's service. His official records show that John Kerry was in fact an officer in the Naval Reserves at the time he testified before the Senate and when he met with a North Vietnamese delegation in Europe and accused his fellow soldiers of war crimes.
The truth does come out eventually, doesn't it.
Rhoads says:
I am not sure what the relevance is. Is the question why an original press release contains a supposed gap? Could it have been a mistake? Was it bad to testify in front of the Senate while in the USNR? I don't get it. But my new allergy medication is making me a bit groggy today.
Bob's reply: If it were simply a question of one original press release, sure it could have been a mistake. But the Kerry service timeline has always included the Rosemary Wood gap from 1970-72 where now it turns out no such gap in service existed. You'll have to ask John Kerry why he thought it was bad to let on that he was a member of the USNR when he met with a delegation from the enemy, testified before the Senate, and accused his Band of Brothers of war crimes.
The embellishments and half truths remain on Kerry's bio page on his web site. No mention of his time in the reserves at all. Just that he was on active duty from 1966-70. The bio also says he "he volunteered to serve on a Swift Boat in the river deltas, one of the most dangerous assignments of the war." Ahh, but Kerry himself acknowledged back in 1986 that he did not volunteer for dangeorus duty. He volunteered for duty as far from the war as he could get and it turned dangerous two weeks before he reported. So while it is technically true to claim he volunteered for one of the most dangerous assignments of the war, it is not a fair representation of his state of mind nor of the duty at the time he volunteered.
As Roger Simon said, at Yale John Kerry was an anti-war activist, like Simon and Joe Lieberman and thousands of other college kids across the country. The war was unpopular. But unlike most protestors (and Simon and Lieberman) Kerry betrayed his ideals and went to fight a war he said was wrong, only to come back and denounce said war and warriors. That says something about the character of the guy. He was against the war, before he went and fought it, and then was against it again.
Listen, I don't think most people give a rats fanny what John Kerry did or said more than thirty years ago (or if he was or wasn't in the USNR at the time). Dude was in his 20s. People do all sorts of nutty things when they're young. What matters is his policy preferences, character, judgment, and decisiveness now. But Kerry seems mired in a 1960s mindset and seems incapable of not bringing up Vietnam. His incesssant pumping up of his Vietnam service is a major mistake that is coming back to bury him. Foolish. And foolish of the Democrats to nominate him. But there you go.
The truth does come out eventually, doesn't it.
Rhoads says:
I am not sure what the relevance is. Is the question why an original press release contains a supposed gap? Could it have been a mistake? Was it bad to testify in front of the Senate while in the USNR? I don't get it. But my new allergy medication is making me a bit groggy today.
Bob's reply: If it were simply a question of one original press release, sure it could have been a mistake. But the Kerry service timeline has always included the Rosemary Wood gap from 1970-72 where now it turns out no such gap in service existed. You'll have to ask John Kerry why he thought it was bad to let on that he was a member of the USNR when he met with a delegation from the enemy, testified before the Senate, and accused his Band of Brothers of war crimes.
The embellishments and half truths remain on Kerry's bio page on his web site. No mention of his time in the reserves at all. Just that he was on active duty from 1966-70. The bio also says he "he volunteered to serve on a Swift Boat in the river deltas, one of the most dangerous assignments of the war." Ahh, but Kerry himself acknowledged back in 1986 that he did not volunteer for dangeorus duty. He volunteered for duty as far from the war as he could get and it turned dangerous two weeks before he reported. So while it is technically true to claim he volunteered for one of the most dangerous assignments of the war, it is not a fair representation of his state of mind nor of the duty at the time he volunteered.
As Roger Simon said, at Yale John Kerry was an anti-war activist, like Simon and Joe Lieberman and thousands of other college kids across the country. The war was unpopular. But unlike most protestors (and Simon and Lieberman) Kerry betrayed his ideals and went to fight a war he said was wrong, only to come back and denounce said war and warriors. That says something about the character of the guy. He was against the war, before he went and fought it, and then was against it again.
Listen, I don't think most people give a rats fanny what John Kerry did or said more than thirty years ago (or if he was or wasn't in the USNR at the time). Dude was in his 20s. People do all sorts of nutty things when they're young. What matters is his policy preferences, character, judgment, and decisiveness now. But Kerry seems mired in a 1960s mindset and seems incapable of not bringing up Vietnam. His incesssant pumping up of his Vietnam service is a major mistake that is coming back to bury him. Foolish. And foolish of the Democrats to nominate him. But there you go.
Cease and Desist
Balloon Juice isn't surprised to see Democrats "lawyering up." He has the dtails and more on Kerry and swift boats over at his web site.
Solid Block for Bush
African-Americans may overwhelmingly support Democrats, but a similar proportion (nine out of ten) of Vietnamese-Americans say they will vote for George W. Bush, according to this report. Vietnamese in Vietnam say they would vote for Kerry if they had a vote.
More on Kerry and Nam
Roger Simon posts some thoughts on Kerry, Cambodia, Nam, and the Swift Boat Vets that are worth reading. One commenter offered this advice for Bush:
I hate to be a party pooper, but I think the better course of action here is for President Bush to take McCain's advice, and turn it into a Sister Soulja moment.I think that's good advice. Kerry's nuts to keep bringing up Vietnam and Bush should do what this guy says.
I agree with Roger several posts ago, and am still wondering how what somebody did 30 years ago matters right now. Yes, I know he "opened the door," but it is now time for Bush to close it, and bloody his nose while doing it (mixed metaphor alert...)
The President should call a press conference and distance himself from these attacks, remind the public that he has been accused of being AWOL by the DNC Chairman and therefore knows how this feels, and then clearly state to the public that the War on Terror is more important than a pissing match about what everybody did after they left Yale.
Mediators call this a conciliatory gesture, and it is a powerful tool for persuasion. Moreover, it would confirm Bush's image as a generous person, and Kerry's image as stingy and ungracious. Thereafter, every time Kerry brings up Viet Nam, something he is genetically incapable of avoiding, he will be the one responsible for the fallout.
We all know Kerry believes Viet Nam is the ace up his sleeve. Why not take it away from him?
One Down
Chalk one up for Rhoads. One of the Swift Boat Vets has retracted an earlier statement that John Kerry did not deserve his Silver Star. The story is here in the Boston Globe.
UPDATE: As Lee Corso says, "Not so fast, my friend." It turns out the Swift Boat Vet is sticking by his original story. The Boston Globe reporter, a Kerry supporter (imagine that) may have gotten the quote wrong. Quoting from Drudge:
UPDATE: As Lee Corso says, "Not so fast, my friend." It turns out the Swift Boat Vet is sticking by his original story. The Boston Globe reporter, a Kerry supporter (imagine that) may have gotten the quote wrong. Quoting from Drudge:
The following statement from Swift Boat Veterans for Truth concerns an article appearing in morning edition of the BOSTON GLOBE, written by GLOBE reporter and author of the official Kerry-Edwards campaign book, Mike Kranish.Developing.
"Captain George Elliott describes an article appearing in today’s edition of the BOSTON GLOBE by Mike Kranish as extremely inaccurate and highly misstating his actual views. He reaffirms his statement in the current advertisement paid for by the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, Captain Elliott reaffirms his affidavit in support of that advertisement, and he reaffirms his request that the ad be played.
“Additional documentation will follow.
"The article by Mr. Kranish is particularly surprising given page 102 of Mr. Kranish’s own book quoting John Kerry as acknowledging that he killed a single, wounded, fleeing Viet Cong soldier whom he was afraid would turn around."
Thursday, August 05, 2004
Free Speech?
Sigh. Here we go again. Nice tone to set for a wannabe Kerry Administration. And with a trial lawyer VP to boot.
Here We Go Again
Following his party's nominating convention John F. Kerry trails George W. Bush in the Iowa Electronic Markets. Rhoads desparately wants to believe that Kerry will pull out this election, but it's looking more and more like that won't happen. Let's do a little post/pre-mortem on the legacy of losers put forth by the Democratic Party starting with the 1968 election:
1968: Hubert Humphrey. Loser from a liberal northern state.
1972: George McGovern. Liberal loser from a northern state.
1976: Jimmy Carter. Winning governor from a southern state.
1984: Walter Mondale: Loser from a liberal northern state.
1988: Michael Dukakis: Liberal loser from a liberal northern state.
1992: Bill Clinton: Winning governor from a southern state.
2000: Al Gore: Loser from a southern state. (How'd he manage to lose again? Oh yeah. He failed to carry that state.)
2004: John Kerry: ____________ from a liberal northern state.
Fill in the blank.
I say "Liberal loser" but "Loser" works, too. Winner seems out of place, doesn't it?
Rhoads response
Not to me it doesn't.
Bob's response: Winner doesn't seem out of place to Rhoads, but then Rhoads has been known to pencil in the Princeton Tigers as NCAA Basketball Champs. Hope springs eternal. Maybe Kerry will win this fall. Maybe the Cubs will win the World Series. Anything's possible.
But not everything's probable. As my post-mortem above shows, in the past when the Democratic Party has nominated a fringe candidate, one pleasing to the list of Rhoads' Favorites over to the left, they have lost. This year Howard Dean sprung on the scene and made John Kerry, a liberal from Massachussets, appear moderate within the Democratic Party. The Michael Moore, MoveOn.org, Howard Dean, Dennis Kucinich, pacifist, Bush-hating, Bush/Cheney/Ashcroft-fearing, conspiracy minded wing of the Democratic Party settled for Kerry when the Dean candidacy wilted in Iowa. Now the party is once again facing an electoral defeat like in 1968, 1972, 1984, and 1988. Oh well. Maybe this time it really will be different.
1968: Hubert Humphrey. Loser from a liberal northern state.
1972: George McGovern. Liberal loser from a northern state.
1976: Jimmy Carter. Winning governor from a southern state.
1984: Walter Mondale: Loser from a liberal northern state.
1988: Michael Dukakis: Liberal loser from a liberal northern state.
1992: Bill Clinton: Winning governor from a southern state.
2000: Al Gore: Loser from a southern state. (How'd he manage to lose again? Oh yeah. He failed to carry that state.)
2004: John Kerry: ____________ from a liberal northern state.
Fill in the blank.
I say "Liberal loser" but "Loser" works, too. Winner seems out of place, doesn't it?
Rhoads response
Not to me it doesn't.
Bob's response: Winner doesn't seem out of place to Rhoads, but then Rhoads has been known to pencil in the Princeton Tigers as NCAA Basketball Champs. Hope springs eternal. Maybe Kerry will win this fall. Maybe the Cubs will win the World Series. Anything's possible.
But not everything's probable. As my post-mortem above shows, in the past when the Democratic Party has nominated a fringe candidate, one pleasing to the list of Rhoads' Favorites over to the left, they have lost. This year Howard Dean sprung on the scene and made John Kerry, a liberal from Massachussets, appear moderate within the Democratic Party. The Michael Moore, MoveOn.org, Howard Dean, Dennis Kucinich, pacifist, Bush-hating, Bush/Cheney/Ashcroft-fearing, conspiracy minded wing of the Democratic Party settled for Kerry when the Dean candidacy wilted in Iowa. Now the party is once again facing an electoral defeat like in 1968, 1972, 1984, and 1988. Oh well. Maybe this time it really will be different.
Swift Boat Vets for "Truth"
Keep hanging your hat on this group of goofballs, Bob. You will be disapointed in the end. This is obviously a group of people dragged up from the scum pond by Karl Rove and company who have a beef with John Kerry's behavior after the Vietnam War. And if John Kerry was NOT lying about his first purple heart, then I would say that this is indeed a libelous ad and should not be run.
This is not about who is and who is not fit to be commander-in-chief. This is about being pissed off that John Kerry came home from Vietnam and said that we behaved terribly over there - which we did in many many cases. Get real.
Bob's Response: Rhoads has his theories about these guys and he may be right.
But it may be that these guys are upset because John Kerry continues to pump his Vietnam service and they know the truth about that service. If you go to the John Kerry website's list of TV spots you'll find one called "Lifeline." In that TV spot you'll see this photo. Since the men in that photo don't support John Kerry (with two exceptions--Kerry and another guy) perhaps they want to set the record straight.
Here's what we know. John Kerry used a picture of himself in a political ad, a picture which included many others who don't support him. Some of them are taking issue with that and fighting back. John Kerry has embellished the circumstances of his swift boat service. He claims now that he volunteered for dangerous duty when he admitted in 1986 that the duty he volunteered for was as not dangerous as he could find.
This is not about who is and who is not fit to be commander-in-chief. This is about being pissed off that John Kerry came home from Vietnam and said that we behaved terribly over there - which we did in many many cases. Get real.
Bob's Response: Rhoads has his theories about these guys and he may be right.
But it may be that these guys are upset because John Kerry continues to pump his Vietnam service and they know the truth about that service. If you go to the John Kerry website's list of TV spots you'll find one called "Lifeline." In that TV spot you'll see this photo. Since the men in that photo don't support John Kerry (with two exceptions--Kerry and another guy) perhaps they want to set the record straight.
Here's what we know. John Kerry used a picture of himself in a political ad, a picture which included many others who don't support him. Some of them are taking issue with that and fighting back. John Kerry has embellished the circumstances of his swift boat service. He claims now that he volunteered for dangerous duty when he admitted in 1986 that the duty he volunteered for was as not dangerous as he could find.
Kerry and Freedom of Speech
Is this the sort of respect for free speech we could expect from a Kerry Administration? Lawyers representing John Kerry and the DNC have sent a letter to television stations them asking them not to run the Swift Boat Vets for Truth ad attacking Kerry's Vietnam claims.
Is Team Kerry right that the Swift Vets are phonies? I'm sure Kerry supporters will think so. But the claims that the people in the ad are lying look weak to me. Glenn Reynolds has more info and links. As Glenn and some of his readers comment, given Kerry's tacit approval of the lies of Michael Moore it seems disingenuous of Team Kerry to try to bully stations into not airing political ads.
Oh, and before we leave John Kerry's Vietnam experience we'd be remiss if we didn't have a look at what Spinsanity has to say about Kerry's swift boat service. According to Spinsanity, Kerry had this to say in 1986:
UPDATE: Here's a transcript from Judy Woodruff's show on CNN today including a "debate" between two men with different takes on the incident leading to John Kerry's Bronze Medal.
Is Team Kerry right that the Swift Vets are phonies? I'm sure Kerry supporters will think so. But the claims that the people in the ad are lying look weak to me. Glenn Reynolds has more info and links. As Glenn and some of his readers comment, given Kerry's tacit approval of the lies of Michael Moore it seems disingenuous of Team Kerry to try to bully stations into not airing political ads.
Oh, and before we leave John Kerry's Vietnam experience we'd be remiss if we didn't have a look at what Spinsanity has to say about Kerry's swift boat service. According to Spinsanity, Kerry had this to say in 1986:
"I didn't really want to get involved in the war," Kerry said in a little-noticed contribution to a book of Vietnam reminiscences published in 1986. "When I signed up for the swift boats, they had very little to do with the war. They were engaged in coastal patrolling and that's what I thought I was going to be doing."The missison of the swift boats changed after Kerry volunteered for that duty. It became much more dangerous, patrolling "the inlets and narrow rivers along the Mekong Delta" and drawing enemy fire. Now Kerry and his supporters are claiming that he bravely volunteered for some of the most dangerous duty possible. Here's how Bill Clinton mischaracterized Kerry's duty in what Rhoads described as a wonderful, if not particularly accurate in this case, speech by Clinton at the Democratic Convention last week:
"When they sent those swiftboats up the river in Vietnam and they told them their job was to draw hostile fire, to wave the American flag and bait the enemy to come out and fight, John Kerry said: Send me."Uh, "Send me somewhere that has 'very little to do with the war' please." That would be more like it.
UPDATE: Here's a transcript from Judy Woodruff's show on CNN today including a "debate" between two men with different takes on the incident leading to John Kerry's Bronze Medal.
Wednesday, August 04, 2004
Ouch
Swift Boat Veterans for Truth is kicking John Kerry's fanny again, this time with a devastating new ad. While you're at it don't miss this mouse-over photo of Kerry and his Band of Brothers.
When the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth first came up Rhoads suggested that their claim to being apolitical was a farce. I agreed that the group was political since, despite the group's emphasis on Kerry's fitness to command, the presidency is a political office and this group clearly had come together to prevent John Kerry from becoming president.
I don't know if this changed since Rhoads first raised the point, but to their credit Swift Boat Veterans for Truth acknowledges that they are an advocacy group, donations to which are not tax deductible. From their FAQ:
If you're hoping for a Kerry win, the Swift Boat Vets' judgment probably won't hurt as much as this post-convention graph. It is a graph reflecting the wisdom of a particular crowd, which appears to have taken a turn for the worse after people had a long, close look at John Kerry in Boston.
It looks bleak for the Senator from Massachusetts right now. I say Kerry will ultimately do better than either Mondale or Dukakis. Bush is just too unpopular with a significant minority of the population to win as big as Reagan and Bush 41 did in those two electoral romps. But if Bush somehow manages to win Minnesota I can't imagine many places Kerry will win. Massachussets? DC? New York? Sure. But he could lose California if Arnold is any help to GWB. That would be a painful beating indeed for Kerry.
When the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth first came up Rhoads suggested that their claim to being apolitical was a farce. I agreed that the group was political since, despite the group's emphasis on Kerry's fitness to command, the presidency is a political office and this group clearly had come together to prevent John Kerry from becoming president.
I don't know if this changed since Rhoads first raised the point, but to their credit Swift Boat Veterans for Truth acknowledges that they are an advocacy group, donations to which are not tax deductible. From their FAQ:
Note: Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, Inc., is a 527 advocacy organization and contributions are not tax deductible.Fair enouth. They are a group of veterans, of both parties, who have come together to say that Kerry is unfit for command. Their judgment and their new ad will hurt Kerry a lot more than it might have had Kerry not made such a big deal of his service in Vietnam, both during the primary campaign and at the Democratic Convention in Boston.
If you're hoping for a Kerry win, the Swift Boat Vets' judgment probably won't hurt as much as this post-convention graph. It is a graph reflecting the wisdom of a particular crowd, which appears to have taken a turn for the worse after people had a long, close look at John Kerry in Boston.
It looks bleak for the Senator from Massachusetts right now. I say Kerry will ultimately do better than either Mondale or Dukakis. Bush is just too unpopular with a significant minority of the population to win as big as Reagan and Bush 41 did in those two electoral romps. But if Bush somehow manages to win Minnesota I can't imagine many places Kerry will win. Massachussets? DC? New York? Sure. But he could lose California if Arnold is any help to GWB. That would be a painful beating indeed for Kerry.
Thursday, July 29, 2004
Susan Buffett Dies
Susan Buffett, wife of Warren Buffett, died of a stroke today at the age of 72. Our condolences to the entire Buffett family. [link]
Rhoads is Back
Now that baseball season is mostly over, I will have more time to spend having coffee with Bob. I read the article, and I think it makes some very good points. However, I think it is a little too simplistic. For example, a president can significantly change the water level in the swimming pool by borrowing buckets full of money, as President Reagan showed us and as President Bush has showed us as well. Of course, only Congress can borrow money, but when Congress does everything the president says, well, I would say that means the president does it. And althugh tax policies don't have very many immediate effects on the economy, they are a lot more than just moving water from one end of the pool to the other. They either pull water out altogether, or they pull it out hoping that when they come back in there is some added to them (which I believe is the theory behind trickle down economics). In either case, once again the president can affect the economy.
Wednesday, July 28, 2004
Stimulating the Economy
Russell Roberts explains why tax and spending policies don't stimulate the economy in the short run despite claims to the contrary by politicians. He offers up a story of a little boy filling a swimming pool with a bucket for illustrative purposes and brings in the great Bastiat for reinforcement. Here's how the essay gets started:
Oh and one more thing, Roberts comes close to adopting my garden analogy to refute the notion of building an economy (where I was refuting the notion of building a nation):
Needless to say I think the whole essay is well worth the short read. I wish more people sought out and received this sort of economic education.
A good place to start is Cafe Hayek were Russell Roberts and Don Boudreaux offer up this sort of fare on a regular basis.
John Kerry will focus on the mediocre performance of the economy, particularly the job market, in the first part of the Bush Administration. Bush will tout the performance of the economy over the last year or so as long as the job numbers continue to be rosy through the fall. Implicit in this discussion are two strange assumptions. The first is that the President “runs” the economy. The President hardly even runs the government. He certainly cannot direct the fortunes and failures of millions of workers, managers, investors and entrepreneurs. The second implicit assumption is that the success or failure of the President depends on his ability to “stimulate” the economy, as if the economy were an engine that simply needed a different setting for its carburetor or as if it were a lazy steer that needs prodding to speed its way on a cattle drive.Enter the little boy and his bucket:
Imagine coming across a young boy who is standing at the edge of the shallow end of a swimming pool. He holds a bucket in his hands and he looks crestfallen. What’s wrong, you ask. Well, he explains, I’m doing a science experiment and it’s not working. What’s wrong? For the last hour I’ve been emptying water into this pool with this bucket. But the water level hasn’t changed a bit. The pool hasn’t gotten any deeper. It’s a big pool, you explain. A few bucketfuls of water aren’t going to have much of a visible effect. The boy redoubles and retriples his efforts. A week goes by. You come back to the pool and he looks no happier than he did before. What’s wrong now, you ask. I’ve been doing the same thing eight hours a day for a week and I still don’t see any change. Is there a leak in the pool, you wonder. No, he says, no leak. I checked that out.If you haven't guessed the boy's problem, read the rest of the essay to find out.
Oh and one more thing, Roberts comes close to adopting my garden analogy to refute the notion of building an economy (where I was refuting the notion of building a nation):
A President can no more stimulate the economy in the short run than you can make a child grow a foot in a week. Genuine growth takes time. The most a President can do is to help create an environment for that growth to take place by unleashing the creativity inherent in a nation’s people and those they trade with in other countries.Helping to "create an environment for that growth" sounds an awful lot like gardening to me.
Needless to say I think the whole essay is well worth the short read. I wish more people sought out and received this sort of economic education.
A good place to start is Cafe Hayek were Russell Roberts and Don Boudreaux offer up this sort of fare on a regular basis.
Sunday, July 25, 2004
The New York Times is Liberal
If Rhoads ever gets time to visit Coffee With Rhoads he may want to follow this link to Ed Driscoll's web site. From there he can follow several more links to admissions of liberal bias in the major news media. The title of this post reflects not just my view, but more tellingly the viewpoint of Daniel Okrent, ombudsman for the New York Times itself. If you find yourself arguing that the major news media do not lean liberal, then you almost certainly have identified yourself as being to the left of the mainstream news media and well to the left of the rest of your fellow Americans. Which is fine.
Wednesday, July 21, 2004
Intelligence and Saddam
I know Rhoads insists that Bush lied, or Bush embellished, or something like that regarding the reasons for going to war in Iraq. Multiple reports to the contrary lately are unlikely to change his mind. But for those of you who still wonder about the role of intelligence in the decision to invade Iraq, here is an intersting piece from today's New York Times called "Saddam Failed the Yeltsin Test" by Stephen Sestanovich, Clinton-era ambassador. Here are the concluding paragraphs:
When America demanded that Iraq follow the example of countries like Ukraine and South Africa, which sought international help in dismantling their weapons of mass destruction, it set the bar extremely high, but not unreasonably so. The right test had to reflect Saddam Hussein's long record of acquiring, using and concealing such weapons. Just as important, it had to yield a clear enough result to satisfy doubters on both sides, either breaking the momentum for war or showing that it was justified.Indeed.
Some may object that this approach treated Saddam Hussein as guilty until proved innocent. They're right. But the Bush administration did not invent this logic. When Saddam Hussein forced out United Nations inspectors in 1998, President Clinton responded with days of bombings - not because he knew what weapons Iraq had, but because Iraq's actions kept us from finding out.
A decision on war is almost never based simply on what we know, or think we know. Intelligence is always disputed. Instead, we respond to what the other guy does. This is how we went to war in Iraq. The next time we face such a choice, whether our intelligence has improved or not, we'll almost surely decide in the very same way.
Monday, July 12, 2004
"Joe Wilson? Al Franken calling about some lies."
Not sure if Air America is still on the air, but even if it is perhaps Al Franken has some time to discuss noted liar Joe Wilson of the Iraq, Niger, and uranium lie.
I'll provide some additional links for Al to follow up on: Pejman I, Pejman II, and Taranto for starters.
I'll provide some additional links for Al to follow up on: Pejman I, Pejman II, and Taranto for starters.
Saturday, July 10, 2004
Edwards Interview
Did Iraq pose an imminent threat to the U.S.? Did President Bush mislead the American people about the threat posed by Iraq in order to get us into a war that was not necessary? Let's ask John Edwards, presumptive Democratic vice-presidential nominee.
BOB: Senator Edwards, President Bush called Iraq, Iran and North Korea the "axis of evil." Is there one that you think is more dangerous than the others?
EDWARDS: I think Iraq is the most serious and imminent threat to our country. And I think they -- as a result, we have to, as we go forward and as we develop policies about how we're going to deal with each of these countries and what action, if any, we're going to take with respect to them, I think each of them have to be dealt with on their own merits.
And they do, in my judgment, present different threats. And I think Iraq and Saddam Hussein present the most serious and most imminent threat.[link]
BOB: Some say we shouldn't go to war because we want to, only because we have to. You say Iraq poses the most imminent threat, but is war necessary?
EDWARDS: I believe we must vote for this resolution not because we want war, but because the national security of our country requires action.[link]
BOB: Well surely Senator Edwards you were misled by President Bush.
EDWARDS: [D]id I get misled? No. I didn't get misled. And as you know, I serve on the Senate Intelligence Committee. So it wasn't just the Bush administration. I sat in meeting after meeting after meeting where we were told about the presence of weapons of mass destruction. There is clearly a disconnect between what we were told and what, in fact, we found there.[link]
BOB: Well goodness knows these intelligence failures got us to fight a war in Iraq that took us away from the important business of finding Osama bin Laden. We had to choose between fighting al Qaeda and fighting in Iraq, and going into Iraq was the wrong choice wasn't it?
EDWARDS: I believe that this is not an either-or choice. Our national security requires us to do both, and we can.[link]
BOB: But al Qaeda, not Iraq, attacked us on 9/11. Is Iraq really all that dangerous to us?
EDWARDS: Saddam Hussein's regime represents a grave threat to America and our allies, including our vital ally, Israel. For more than two decades, Saddam Hussein has sought weapons of mass destruction through every available means. We know that he has chemical and biological weapons. He has already used them against his neighbors and his own people, and is trying to build more. We know that he is doing everything he can to build nuclear weapons, and we know that each day he gets closer to achieving that goal.[link]
BOB: Well said, John. Anything else?
EDWARDS: Iraq has continued to seek nuclear weapons and develop its arsenal in defiance of the collective will of the international community, as expressed through the United Nations Security Council. It is violating the terms of the 1991 cease-fire that ended the Gulf War and as many as 16 Security Council resolutions, including 11 resolutions concerning Iraq's efforts to develop weapons of mass destruction.
By ignoring these resolutions, Saddam Hussein is undermining the credibility of the United Nations, openly violating international law, and making a mockery of the very idea of collective action that is so important to the United States and its allies.
We cannot allow Saddam Hussein to get nuclear weapons in violation of his own commitments, our commitments, and the world's commitments.[link]
BOB: Shoot that's what I was saying. I know you think we should build as large a coalition as possible in this war to oust Saddam, but should we do it without UN approval if necessary?
EDWARDS: [I]f the Security Council is prevented from supporting this new effort, then the United States must be prepared to act with as many allies as possible to address this threat.[link]
BOB: I'm with you Senator. Any final words?
EDWARDS: [T]he decision we must make now is one a nation never seeks. Yet when confronted with a danger as great as Saddam Hussein, it is a decision we must make. America's security requires nothing less.[link]
BOB: Well said, Senator. However it now appears that Saddam wasn't as imminently dangerous as we and so many others thought. Was ousting him the right thing to do in hindsight? I mean we pissed off the French, Germans, Russians and leftists all around the world. Do you still believe going in "alone" was the right thing to do?
EDWARDS: I think that we were right to go. I think we were right to go to the United Nations. I think we couldn't let those who could veto in the Security Council hold us hostage. And I think Saddam Hussein being gone is good. Good for the American people, good for the security of that region of the world, and good for the Iraqi people. I stand behind my support of that, yes.[link]
BOB: Thank you for clearing all that up for us Senator. Thank you for your time.
And thank you to Stephen Hayes for making this interview possible.
BOB: Senator Edwards, President Bush called Iraq, Iran and North Korea the "axis of evil." Is there one that you think is more dangerous than the others?
EDWARDS: I think Iraq is the most serious and imminent threat to our country. And I think they -- as a result, we have to, as we go forward and as we develop policies about how we're going to deal with each of these countries and what action, if any, we're going to take with respect to them, I think each of them have to be dealt with on their own merits.
And they do, in my judgment, present different threats. And I think Iraq and Saddam Hussein present the most serious and most imminent threat.[link]
BOB: Some say we shouldn't go to war because we want to, only because we have to. You say Iraq poses the most imminent threat, but is war necessary?
EDWARDS: I believe we must vote for this resolution not because we want war, but because the national security of our country requires action.[link]
BOB: Well surely Senator Edwards you were misled by President Bush.
EDWARDS: [D]id I get misled? No. I didn't get misled. And as you know, I serve on the Senate Intelligence Committee. So it wasn't just the Bush administration. I sat in meeting after meeting after meeting where we were told about the presence of weapons of mass destruction. There is clearly a disconnect between what we were told and what, in fact, we found there.[link]
BOB: Well goodness knows these intelligence failures got us to fight a war in Iraq that took us away from the important business of finding Osama bin Laden. We had to choose between fighting al Qaeda and fighting in Iraq, and going into Iraq was the wrong choice wasn't it?
EDWARDS: I believe that this is not an either-or choice. Our national security requires us to do both, and we can.[link]
BOB: But al Qaeda, not Iraq, attacked us on 9/11. Is Iraq really all that dangerous to us?
EDWARDS: Saddam Hussein's regime represents a grave threat to America and our allies, including our vital ally, Israel. For more than two decades, Saddam Hussein has sought weapons of mass destruction through every available means. We know that he has chemical and biological weapons. He has already used them against his neighbors and his own people, and is trying to build more. We know that he is doing everything he can to build nuclear weapons, and we know that each day he gets closer to achieving that goal.[link]
BOB: Well said, John. Anything else?
EDWARDS: Iraq has continued to seek nuclear weapons and develop its arsenal in defiance of the collective will of the international community, as expressed through the United Nations Security Council. It is violating the terms of the 1991 cease-fire that ended the Gulf War and as many as 16 Security Council resolutions, including 11 resolutions concerning Iraq's efforts to develop weapons of mass destruction.
By ignoring these resolutions, Saddam Hussein is undermining the credibility of the United Nations, openly violating international law, and making a mockery of the very idea of collective action that is so important to the United States and its allies.
We cannot allow Saddam Hussein to get nuclear weapons in violation of his own commitments, our commitments, and the world's commitments.[link]
BOB: Shoot that's what I was saying. I know you think we should build as large a coalition as possible in this war to oust Saddam, but should we do it without UN approval if necessary?
EDWARDS: [I]f the Security Council is prevented from supporting this new effort, then the United States must be prepared to act with as many allies as possible to address this threat.[link]
BOB: I'm with you Senator. Any final words?
EDWARDS: [T]he decision we must make now is one a nation never seeks. Yet when confronted with a danger as great as Saddam Hussein, it is a decision we must make. America's security requires nothing less.[link]
BOB: Well said, Senator. However it now appears that Saddam wasn't as imminently dangerous as we and so many others thought. Was ousting him the right thing to do in hindsight? I mean we pissed off the French, Germans, Russians and leftists all around the world. Do you still believe going in "alone" was the right thing to do?
EDWARDS: I think that we were right to go. I think we were right to go to the United Nations. I think we couldn't let those who could veto in the Security Council hold us hostage. And I think Saddam Hussein being gone is good. Good for the American people, good for the security of that region of the world, and good for the Iraqi people. I stand behind my support of that, yes.[link]
BOB: Thank you for clearing all that up for us Senator. Thank you for your time.
And thank you to Stephen Hayes for making this interview possible.
Thursday, July 08, 2004
Lileks Fisks Moore
Michael Moore wrote a commentary in the July 4th LA Times. James Lileks goes over it for us as only he can.
Wednesday, July 07, 2004
More on Iraq and Uranium
From today's Financial Times:
I guess I'll have to brush up on things nuclear. It appears that Iraq had two tons of uranium and a nuclear program, yet sought to buy uranium from Niger. I guess it's possible that all this is innocent enough and that Iraq needed uranium or the "yellow cake" from Niger for energy generation purposes. But why would a country rich with oil be developing nuclear energy sources?
A UK government inquiry into the intelligence used to justify the war in Iraq is expected to conclude that Britain's spies were correct to say that Saddam Hussein's regime sought to buy uranium from Niger.Uranium from Niger, you say? Now where did I hear that before? Oh right, Bush lied about that in his State of the Union speech in 2003.
The inquiry by Lord Butler, which was delivered to the printers on Wednesday and is expected to be released on July 14, has examined the intelligence that underpinned the UK government's claims about the threat from Iraq.
I guess I'll have to brush up on things nuclear. It appears that Iraq had two tons of uranium and a nuclear program, yet sought to buy uranium from Niger. I guess it's possible that all this is innocent enough and that Iraq needed uranium or the "yellow cake" from Niger for energy generation purposes. But why would a country rich with oil be developing nuclear energy sources?
Radioactive News?
The AP reported:
In a secret operation, the United States last month removed from Iraq nearly two tons of uranium and hundreds of highly radioactive items that could have been used in a so-called dirty bomb, the Energy Department disclosed Tuesday.Nope, no WMD programs going on in Iraq.
The nuclear material was secured from Iraq's former nuclear research facility and airlifted out of the country to an undisclosed Energy Department laboratory for further analysis, the department said in a statement.
Monday, July 05, 2004
Impressive
Randy Barnett is impressed with Michael Moore's Farenheit 9/11. In his piece Barnett cites, among others, pieces by Dave Kopel and Christopher Hitchens that are much worth reading.
I'd add to the must reading list the analysis by Brendan Nyhan of Spinsanity as well as this amusing collection of Michael Moore's own words by Tacitus. It's hard to pick a favorite, but I guess I was most amused by this give and take between Moore and Bob Costas (from Tacitus):
I'd add to the must reading list the analysis by Brendan Nyhan of Spinsanity as well as this amusing collection of Michael Moore's own words by Tacitus. It's hard to pick a favorite, but I guess I was most amused by this give and take between Moore and Bob Costas (from Tacitus):
May 9 interview on HBO's On the Record with Bob CostasSounds like Art Bell or Oliver Stone.
During the pre-taped interview, Moore asked Costas: "What happened to the search for Osama bin Laden?"
Costas naively suggested: "Obviously they're pursuing Osama bin Laden as we speak."
Moore challenged the premise: "Really, you believe that?"
Costas: "Yes."
Moore: "You do believe that?"
Costas: "Sure. And if they could find him, and perhaps they eventually will, they'd be gratified by that."
Moore: "You don't think they know where he is?"
Costas, clearly astonished as Moore's paranoid thinking: "You think they know where Osama bin Laden is and it's hands off?"
Moore: "Absolutely, absolutely."
Costas: "Why?"
Moore: "Because he's funded by their friends in Saudi Arabia! He's back living with his sponsors, his benefactors. Do you think that Osama bin Laden planned 9-11 from a cave in Afghanistan? I can't get a cell signal from here to Queens, alright, I mean, come on. Let's get real about this. The guy has been on dialysis for two years. He's got failing kidneys. He wasn't in a cave in Afghanistan playing-"
Costas jumped in: "You think he's in Saudi Arabia, not Afghanistan, not Pakistan."
Moore: "Well, could be Pakistan, but he's under watch of those who have said put a stop to this because-"
Costas tried to nail him down on culpability: "Including, at least by extension, the United States, he's under the protective watch of the United States?"
Moore confirmed: "I think the United States, I think our government knows where he is and I don't think we're going to be capturing him or killing him any time soon."
Saturday, July 03, 2004
More Evidence of Media Bias
I haven't read any more of Linda Seebach's opinion piece than Glenn Reynolds exerpts, nor have I gone and read the original study, but I can't say I'm surprised by the finding of yet another study that the news media display a bias toward the left, dramatically it appears.
The authors say they expected to find that the mainstream media leaned to the left, but they were "astounded by the degree."Of course if you're to the left of the Democratic Party this won't be so obvious. In fact, if you're far enough left the news media will seem biased to the right.
Friday, July 02, 2004
Geneva Conventions and Detainees
So do the recent Supreme Court rulings mean that the War on Terror detainees are entitled to their rights under the Geneva Conventions? Nope. Eugene Volokh has a detailed post covering the issue. Here's the start of it:
See also this followup post regarding the Geneva Conventions at the Volokh Conspiracy.
Rhoads response: I am not sure what your point is here, Bob, but keep trying. The administration is continuing to dig themselves into a bigger and bigger hole, which is fine with me. I mean, if the Supreme Court that decided it was in their power to decide that these guys should be in charge of the Executive Branch disagrees with them, then they are in trouble, which I think is great.
Bob: Huh? I understood your first two sentences, but I can't make out the last one. Maybe once I figure that out I can help you understand the point I was making.
Some people have said that the Supreme Court's Guantanamo detainee decision might have been influenced by the Administration's refusal to give the detainees the procedures to which they're entitled by the Geneva Conventions. The Geneva Conventions are a treaty that we signed, the argument goes, the government is bound to give this procedure, so we should interpret our habeas corpus statute as mandating at least something like what we've promised to provide in any case.Read the whole thing.
I'm not sure whether the Justices might indeed have been influenced by what they may see as Administration overreaching here. But, as best I can tell, the Geneva Conventions do not require the U.S. to give hearings to detainees who claim that they're actually civilians and should therefore be freed.[emphasis in original]
See also this followup post regarding the Geneva Conventions at the Volokh Conspiracy.
Rhoads response: I am not sure what your point is here, Bob, but keep trying. The administration is continuing to dig themselves into a bigger and bigger hole, which is fine with me. I mean, if the Supreme Court that decided it was in their power to decide that these guys should be in charge of the Executive Branch disagrees with them, then they are in trouble, which I think is great.
Bob: Huh? I understood your first two sentences, but I can't make out the last one. Maybe once I figure that out I can help you understand the point I was making.
Thursday, July 01, 2004
A Soldier's View of the Liberation of Iraq
This soldier says he and his brothers-in-arms knew why they were invading Iraq:
I can speak with authority on the opinions of both British and American infantry in that place and at that time. Let me make this clear: at no time did anyone say or imply to any of us that we were invading Iraq to rid the country of weapons of mass destruction, nor were we there to avenge 9/11. We knew we were there for one reason: to rid the world of a tyrant, and to give Iraq back to Iraqis.Read the whole thing.
Wednesday, June 30, 2004
C'mon Tom
If you get your news from NBC Nightly News it may not be "news" that you're getting. Tom Brokaw embarrasses himself in an interview with Iraqi Prime Minister Ilyad Allawi and Donald Sensing has the details.
Rhoads' response: I guess I am missing how Tom Brokaw embarrassed himself.
Bob's response: Did you read the exchange? Do you know what the 9/11 Commission said about Iraq and al Qaeda?
UPDATE: This piece by Roger L. Simon may help. It quotes the relevant passage from the 9/11 Commission report.
Rhoads' response: I guess I am missing how Tom Brokaw embarrassed himself.
Bob's response: Did you read the exchange? Do you know what the 9/11 Commission said about Iraq and al Qaeda?
UPDATE: This piece by Roger L. Simon may help. It quotes the relevant passage from the 9/11 Commission report.
Tuesday, June 29, 2004
News from Iraq
US Marine Corps reservist Eric Johnson, back from serving in Iraq, offers some insights into the goings on in Iraq and the news coverage of it. Here's a taste:
Soldiers and Marines point to the slow, steady progress in almost all areas of Iraqi life and wonder why they don’t get much notice – or in many cases, any notice at all.Read the whole thing.
Do These Quotes Qualify as Anti-American?
According to an opinion piece in the New York Times, one American, exercising his inalienable right to free speech, made the following comments within the past few years. Would it be fair to call such statements or the person uttering them anti-American? If not, what would an American have to say to qualify as anti-American?
"[Americans] are possibly the dumbest people on the planet . . . in thrall to conniving, thieving smug [pieces of the human anatomy]."
"We Americans suffer from an enforced ignorance. We don't know about anything that's happening outside our country. Our stupidity is embarrassing."
"That's why we're [Americans] smiling all the time. You can see us coming down the street. You know, `Hey! Hi! How's it going?' We've got that big [expletive] grin on our face all the time because our brains aren't loaded down."
"You're stuck with being connected to this country of mine [the U.S.], which is known for bringing sadness and misery to places around the globe."
"We, the United States of America, are culpable in committing so many acts of terror and bloodshed that we had better get a clue about the culture of violence in which we have been active participants."
"Don't be like us [Americans]. You've got to stand up, right? You've got to be brave."
"Should such an ignorant people [Americans] lead the world?"
"Don't go the American way when it comes to economics, jobs and services for the poor and immigrants. It is the wrong way."
"The Iraqis who have risen up against the occupation are not `insurgents' or `terrorists' or `The Enemy.' They are the REVOLUTION, the Minutemen, and their numbers will grow — and they will win."
"[Americans] are possibly the dumbest people on the planet . . . in thrall to conniving, thieving smug [pieces of the human anatomy]."
"We Americans suffer from an enforced ignorance. We don't know about anything that's happening outside our country. Our stupidity is embarrassing."
"That's why we're [Americans] smiling all the time. You can see us coming down the street. You know, `Hey! Hi! How's it going?' We've got that big [expletive] grin on our face all the time because our brains aren't loaded down."
"You're stuck with being connected to this country of mine [the U.S.], which is known for bringing sadness and misery to places around the globe."
"We, the United States of America, are culpable in committing so many acts of terror and bloodshed that we had better get a clue about the culture of violence in which we have been active participants."
"Don't be like us [Americans]. You've got to stand up, right? You've got to be brave."
"Should such an ignorant people [Americans] lead the world?"
"Don't go the American way when it comes to economics, jobs and services for the poor and immigrants. It is the wrong way."
"The Iraqis who have risen up against the occupation are not `insurgents' or `terrorists' or `The Enemy.' They are the REVOLUTION, the Minutemen, and their numbers will grow — and they will win."
Monday, June 28, 2004
Sunday, June 27, 2004
Iraq, Niger and Uranium
I'll be darned. It looks like Iraq acquired or tried to acquire uranium from Niger afterall.
Uranium, sarin gas equipped war heads, anthrax. If WMD are defined as nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons Saddam's Iraq came through with the Triple Crown.
Uranium, sarin gas equipped war heads, anthrax. If WMD are defined as nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons Saddam's Iraq came through with the Triple Crown.
Friday, June 25, 2004
Evidence Keeps Rolling In
The New York Times reports more evidence of connections between Iraq and al Qaeda in the 1990s.
Wednesday, June 23, 2004
Law School and Bar Exams: What's the Point?
My local law school is struggling to come up with the cash to modernize their facilities. That's bad news for the professors, administrators, and students. But if more law schools struggle financially maybe the end result will be an end to the nonsense that is legal education. Here's a brief essay addressed to recent law school grads. The content shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone familiar with professional education and occupational licensure in America.
Tuesday, June 22, 2004
Iraq and Al Qaeda continued
In 1999 CNN and The Gardian were reporting that Iraq offered bin Laden asylum. Of course until very, very recently the connection between Iraq and al Qaeda was common knowledge.
Monday, June 14, 2004
We're Number 49
My alma mater, the nations's top party school, is ranked 49th in the near final 2003-04 Director's Cup standings. Princeton stands at number 30. The winner for the 10th consecutive year is Stanford University. Amazing what athletic scholarships, good weather, and a good school will get you.
Wednesday, June 09, 2004
Is This the Face of Public Education?
Citizen Smash reports from an anti-war rally where he encountered a socialist teacher actively campaigning for US defeat in Iraq. Here's a spooky interchange between Smash and the teacher:
Luckily socialists recruiting high school students for leftist activism is a rarity in US public schools.
“So, do you try to get your students involved in activism?”I'm sure they do a good job with it, too.
"Oh, definitely! I teach the required World History course, but I also teach an elective course on Revolutionary History. Those students are really receptive to new ideas. We cover the Russian Revolution, Chinese Revolution, French Revolution, Mexican Revolution…”
“What about the American Revolution?”
“Oh, they cover that in US History,” she replied, dismissively.
Luckily socialists recruiting high school students for leftist activism is a rarity in US public schools.
Learning and Sleeping
Randall Parker has a post on brain function during sleep. Studying and learning in the evening before a good night's sleep may be the way to go. It could be that studying and napping are good for learning, too. Sweet.
Moore's Law vs. Medicare
In a post from last summer, Arnold Kling handicaps the Great Race between the economy and Medicare. Unless Medicare is reformed, the economy will have to kick butt in the next several decades to pay the bills we're all assuming for the medical care of citizens over age 65.
Like Social Security, Medicare is a moronic program that never should have been started. The burden those two programs have placed on young workers in this country is tremendous, all for the goal of providing something to a group of people who are far wealthier than the providers.
Like Social Security, Medicare is a moronic program that never should have been started. The burden those two programs have placed on young workers in this country is tremendous, all for the goal of providing something to a group of people who are far wealthier than the providers.
Poisonous Focus on Distribution
Alex Taborrak links to this paper on the Industrial Revolution by Robert Lucas. The conclusion, exerpted by Alex, caught my attention since it says something I've been saying for twenty years:
UPDATE: Arnold Kling has some thoughts on the Lucas essay, too.
Of the tendencies that are harmful to sound economics, the most seductive, and in my opinion the most poisonous, is to focus on questions of distribution. In this very minute, a child is being born to an American family and another child, equally valued by God, is being born to a family in India. The resources of all kinds that will be at the disposal of this new American will be on the order of 15 times the resources available to his Indian brother. This seems to us a terrible wrong, justifying direct corrective action, and perhaps some actions of this kind can and should be taken. But of the vast increase in the well-being of hundreds of millions of people that has occurred in the 200-year course of the industrial revolution to date, virtually none of it can be attributed to the direct redistribution of resources from rich to poor. The potential for improving the lives of poor people by finding different ways of distributing current production is nothing compared to the apparently limitless potential of increasing production.My contention is that the difference between socialists and capitalists is that socialists assume the existence of wealth and then seek the best ways to distribute that wealth. Capitalists focus on the creation of the wealth which comes into existence already distributed to those who produced it. I think capitalists have it right, obviously since I am a capitalist. Without excess wealth, that is assets produced beyond those that we consume, there can be no charitable redistribution. Therefore, wealth creation is primary if we seek a world with less poverty. As Lucas points out, the Industrial Revolution, and I would add worldwide specialization and trade, has produced unimaginable wealth and therefore more people freed from a life of poverty that was the norm for hundreds of thousands of years.
UPDATE: Arnold Kling has some thoughts on the Lucas essay, too.
Sunday, June 06, 2004
The Benefits of Saying the Obvious Truth
Ronald Reagan called the Soviet Union evil. Ten years later that evil empire crumbled. Fabio Rojas writes:
Now I'd like to see Bush (or Kerry if he wins in November) call China evil, too.
It's hard for Westerners to believe this, but the clarity of Reagan's message had a profound effect on those behind the Iron Curtain. People will notice when an American president unapologetically calls the Soviet Union what it was - an evil empire. This is a simple moral judgment that was lost on so many intellectuals in the West. To hear this message must have been inspiring to those who experienced the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia and Hungary and other Soviet crimes.Perhaps George W. Bush's labeling of Iran, Iraq, and North Korea as the Axis of Evil will similarly inspire those living (lived in the case of Iraq) under tyranny in those evil regimes. Speaking the truth can pay dividends down the road. Ask the people of Eastern Europe if you don't believe me.
Now I'd like to see Bush (or Kerry if he wins in November) call China evil, too.
Friday, June 04, 2004
Bush Speech at Normandy
Steven Den Beste has written a speech that George W. Bush should give on June 6, 2004 at Normandy.
Is Mark Twain Alive?
OK, so the references to Cuba give away the time frame, but this essay by Mark Twain, written in 1898, could have been written today. Twain is responding to this comment from a voluntary American exile living in Paris:
Well, what do you think of our country now? And what do you think of the figure she is cutting before the eyes of the world? For one, I am ashamed.Twain's response begins:
And so you are ashamed. I am trying to think out what it can have been that has produced this large attitude of mind and this fine flow of sarcasm. Apparently you are ashamed to look Europe in the face; ashamed of the American name; temporarily ashamed of your nationality. By the light of remarks made to me by an American here in Vienna, I judge that you are ashamed because:Disgust at American conduct by Europeans and European wannabe Americans has a long history.
1. We are meddling where we have no business and no right; meddling with the private family matters of a sister nation; intruding upon her sacred right to do as she pleases with her own, unquestioned by anybody.
2. We are doing this under a sham humanitarian pretext.
3. Doing it in order to filch Cuba, the formal and distinct disclaimer in the ultimatum being very, very thin humbug, and easily detectable by you and virtuous Europe.
4. And finally you are ashamed of all this because it is new, and base, and brutal, and dishonest; and because Europe, having had no previous experience of such things, is horrified by it and can never respect us nor associate with us any more.
Brutal, base, dishonest? We? Land Thieves? Shedders of innocent blood? We? Traitors to our official word? We? Are we going to lose Europe's respect because of this new and dreadful conduct? Russia's, for instance? Is she lying stretched out on her back in Manchuria, with her head among her Siberian prisons and her feet in Port Arthur, trying to read over the fairy tales she told Lord Salisbury, and not able to do it for crying because we are maneuvering to treacherously smouch Cuba from feeble Spain, and because we are ungently shedding innocent Spanish blood?
Too Many Teachers
Ever heard anyone (teachers?) complain about how little schools pay their teachers? Guest blogger Fabio Rojas at the Marginal Revolution offers an obvious explanation:
I have a friend who is going back to school with the intention of becoming a teacher. When I mention these plans to people who know him the universal reply is, "Wonderful!" Maybe that explains why people continue to go into the profession despite the low pay.
When did we become a society of teachers anyway? What happened to the old saying, "Those who can, do. Those who can't, teach."? Perhaps we need more doers and fewer teachers.
Teacher's low pay is due mainly to the fact that there are tons and tons of teachers! There is a huge supply of teachers. Education schools have huge enrollments - and surveys routinely report that education is one of the most popular majors in the country. Click here for a short Yahoo article reporting the most popular intended majors among incoming freshmen in 2002.The link shows that education majors are number 3 and number 6 in the top 10. I wonder how many of the psychology (number 2) and english (number 7) majors intend to teach, too?
I have a friend who is going back to school with the intention of becoming a teacher. When I mention these plans to people who know him the universal reply is, "Wonderful!" Maybe that explains why people continue to go into the profession despite the low pay.
When did we become a society of teachers anyway? What happened to the old saying, "Those who can, do. Those who can't, teach."? Perhaps we need more doers and fewer teachers.
Shiite Dead Under Saddam
Hugh Hewitt wonders why this isn't big news:
James Lileks offers some answers for Hugh:
"By mid-January of 2004, 270 mass graves had been reported. The Free Prisoners Society estimates that five to seven million people 'disappeared' in the past two decades, the majority of them Shiites."That's from a National Geographic Magazine story on Shiites in Iraq called "Reaching for Power".
James Lileks offers some answers for Hugh:
1. Five to seven million “disappeared” is not the same as five to seven million killed. They could have wandered off. The discovery of mass graves that hold several hundred thousands is no proof that Saddam killed any more. Until we have at leave five million skeletons all clutching their national identification cards, with neat bullet holes in the back of their skulls, there is no reason to believe that Saddam had them killed.Indeed.
If we have learned nothing else in the last few years, it’s that we should give him the benefit of the doubt.
2. So? Other people have died in large amounts elsewhere, and we’re not worried about that.
3. Hey, Arabs killing Arabs. Like that’s news. What do expect of these people? In any case it’s obscene to use the death toll as a justification for Bush’s illegal war. Which was also a racist war, I might add.
4. To paraphrase an influential thinker of the previous century: The death of millions is a statistic.
NRO Profile of Roger L. Simon plus John Kerry Thoughts
Though I don't have him on my list of favorites over on the left margin of Coffee With Rhoads, I find myself frequently visiting Roger L. Simon's blog. Not surprisingly his writing is wonderful. To get a feel for Roger's past and present, this profile of Simon is a great place to start.
Regarding current events, Simon doesn't trust John Kerry. Simon attended Yale at the same time as Kerry. Says Simon:
But anti-war people have reason to dislike Kerry, too. Like Roger Simon, they distrust his principles because Kerry claimed to be anti-war, then went to Vietnam. It looks to them like a political move. That's how some of the doctors and soldiers who saw Kerry in Vietnam saw it, too. Kerry seemed like a guy who had political ambitions and wanted to have it both ways. He was anti-war as judged by his actions before and after serving in Vietnam. Yet he served in Vietnam. He could claim to be on both sides of the issue.
Being on both sides of the issues seems to be a trait of Kerry's from way back.
Regarding current events, Simon doesn't trust John Kerry. Simon attended Yale at the same time as Kerry. Says Simon:
The Vietnam War debate was raging then, and "I was militantly antiwar," Simon recounts. So was Kerry, publicly and vocally. But Kerry really threw Simon for a loop when he volunteered for service. Among those opposed to the war, it was a matter of principle to avoid serving: "If you were at Yale and you didn't want to go to Vietnam, there was always a way out of it," Simon recounts.It will be amazing if Kerry can win the presidency having played up his Vietnam service so much. Military men don't like him because he came back from Vietnam and called them war criminals. To compound those errors, from the perspectives of military people, as a senator Kerry voted against the military on most issues throughout is career.
So when Kerry volunteered it struck Simon, then and now, as a supremely hypocritical act. Because Kerry's actions didn't match his expressed convictions, "it proved [to Simon] that his values weren't really deep."
But anti-war people have reason to dislike Kerry, too. Like Roger Simon, they distrust his principles because Kerry claimed to be anti-war, then went to Vietnam. It looks to them like a political move. That's how some of the doctors and soldiers who saw Kerry in Vietnam saw it, too. Kerry seemed like a guy who had political ambitions and wanted to have it both ways. He was anti-war as judged by his actions before and after serving in Vietnam. Yet he served in Vietnam. He could claim to be on both sides of the issue.
Being on both sides of the issues seems to be a trait of Kerry's from way back.
Wednesday, June 02, 2004
In Praise of Attrition
All wars are wars of attrition and we'd be wise not to forget that lesson. Hence, I link to an essay titled "In Praise of Attrition" by Ralph Peters in the Summer 2004 issue of Parameters, the US Army War College Quarterly. It's recommended reading, especially for those of us who know nothing first hand about war.
Tuesday, June 01, 2004
Martial Values
Professor Bainbridge replies to Larry Solum regarding martial virtues here. Bainbridge quotes a passage from G.K. Chesterton's essay on Rudyard Kipling. I've reproduced the same passage below:
Now, Mr. Kipling is certainly wrong in his worship of militarism, but his opponents are, generally speaking, quite as wrong as he. The evil of militarism is not that it shows certain men to be fierce and haughty and excessively warlike. The evil of militarism is that it shows most men to be tame and timid and excessively peaceable. The professional soldier gains more and more power as the general courage of a community declines. Thus the Pretorian guard became more and more important in Rome as Rome became more and more luxurious and feeble. The military man gains the civil power in proportion as the civilian loses the military virtues. And as it was in ancient Rome so it is in contemporary Europe. There never was a time when nations were more militarist. There never was a time when men were less brave. All ages and all epics have sung of arms and the man; but we have effected simultaneously the deterioration of the man and the fantastic perfection of the arms. Militarism demonstrated the decadence of Rome, and it demonstrates the decadence of Prussia.The point is that professional militaries become especially dangerous when the citizens become soft and rely too much on the professional soldiers. I think we're far from that danger in this country, but we've certainly lost some of the martial virtues of our forefathers.
Iraq and al Qaeda again
More discussion of the connection between Iraq and al Qaeda here, including some exerpts from a book on bin Laden published in 1999, before the general public really noticed al Qaeda (that would be on 9/11) and began taking politically motivated positions on the connection (or lack thereof) between Saddam and bin Laden.
"Every war with fascism is our business."
So says Mark Edelman, "the last surviving military leader of the heroic Jewish Uprising in the Warsaw Ghetto in 1943." Read the whole thing, of course, but here's an exerpt:
Don't tell Mark Edelman that "War is not the A.N.S.W.E.R."
UPDATE: Citizen Smash on A.N.S.W.E.R.
Interviewer: But the Americans aren't going too well with introducing democracy in Iraq.Edelman doesn't have much good to say about the Spanish (pulling out of Iraq) and the French (failing to defend themselves in WWII). He thinks they're weak. Imagine that.
Edelman: That's true, but it's a difficult war. The Second World War went for five years. Democracy tends to be structurally weak. Dictatorship is strong. Hitler was able to mobilise several million people and chase another few million into gas chambers or slave labour. But only democracy saves the humanity and saves millions of lives. The more I see people getting murdered the more I believe that we need to put a stop to that. The murderers understand only deeds.
Don't tell Mark Edelman that "War is not the A.N.S.W.E.R."
UPDATE: Citizen Smash on A.N.S.W.E.R.
Geneva Conventions
Alan Dershowitz, a noted liberal Harvard law professor, says it's time to scrap the outdated and overly broad Geneva Conventions. Contrary to Rhoads' contention that Al Gore rightly uses the term "Geneva Convention" to describe proper moral behavior toward detainees, Dershowitz sees the Geneva Conventions as aiding terrorists:
If Rhoads gets the time, maybe he could explain where Dershowitz and I are wrong to say that the Geneva Conventions provide poor guidance for the treatment of suspected terrorist detainees.
Rhoads' reponse
Well, I read the article, and although I can't fault most of its logic, I have to come to a different conclusion, if for no other reason than to answer this question: Who gets to make the decision that any particular human being falls into the category that allows them to be treated inhumanely? President Bush did with Jose Padilla, and we still haven't heard from the Supreme Court whether that is OK or not. Someone at the prisons in Iraq got to decide, and it appears that the country is not happy with that decision either. Until there is a good answer to that question, then I don't think there is any way we can move to a system as described by Professor Dershowitz.
Bob's reply
Rhoads assumes his conclusion in his question. He assumes that there are accepted definitions of "humane" and "inhumane" treatments of prisoners. That is simply not the case. The question is not black and white, humane treatment versus inhumane treatment. There is a continuum of treatments when it comes to prisoners. The continuum goes from the plush conditions in minimum security prisons in the U.S. to the torture chambers of France and the beheading of Nick Berg in Iraq. The question is do the Geneva Conventions tell us where on the contnuum to be when it comes to combat with terrorists who do not accept the rules of war. Dershowitz and I say no. They were never intended to do so. By trying to use them for a purpose for which they were not intended, we risk making the world a far more dangerous place.
These international laws have become part of the problem, rather than part of the solution.Read the whole thing, but here's Dershowitz's concluding paragraph:
International law must recognize that democracies have been forced by the tactics of terrorists to make difficult decisions regarding life and death. The old black-and-white distinctions must be replaced by new categories, rules and approaches that strike the proper balance between preserving human rights and preventing human wrongs. For the law to work, it must be realistic and it must adapt to changing needs.My contention is that Gore is either a moron for thinking the Geneva Conventions apply to terrorists, or intentionally using a term that doesn't apply to attack a Bush Administration he doesn't like. Rhoads contends that the Geneva Conventions, while legally not binding, describe the proper, moral treatment of prisoners. Dershowitz doesn't address my Gore concerns, but seems to disagree with Rhoads' view of the morality of the Conventions.
If Rhoads gets the time, maybe he could explain where Dershowitz and I are wrong to say that the Geneva Conventions provide poor guidance for the treatment of suspected terrorist detainees.
Rhoads' reponse
Well, I read the article, and although I can't fault most of its logic, I have to come to a different conclusion, if for no other reason than to answer this question: Who gets to make the decision that any particular human being falls into the category that allows them to be treated inhumanely? President Bush did with Jose Padilla, and we still haven't heard from the Supreme Court whether that is OK or not. Someone at the prisons in Iraq got to decide, and it appears that the country is not happy with that decision either. Until there is a good answer to that question, then I don't think there is any way we can move to a system as described by Professor Dershowitz.
Bob's reply
Rhoads assumes his conclusion in his question. He assumes that there are accepted definitions of "humane" and "inhumane" treatments of prisoners. That is simply not the case. The question is not black and white, humane treatment versus inhumane treatment. There is a continuum of treatments when it comes to prisoners. The continuum goes from the plush conditions in minimum security prisons in the U.S. to the torture chambers of France and the beheading of Nick Berg in Iraq. The question is do the Geneva Conventions tell us where on the contnuum to be when it comes to combat with terrorists who do not accept the rules of war. Dershowitz and I say no. They were never intended to do so. By trying to use them for a purpose for which they were not intended, we risk making the world a far more dangerous place.
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